I’ll Take It!

Yeah yeah, “Poll Shows Big Bloomberg Lead Over Thompson”:

Mayor Michael R. Bloomberg leads City Comptroller William C. Thompson Jr., his chief Democratic challenger, 54 percent to 32 percent, among New York City voters, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released on Tuesday.

But look on the bright side — 1) couldn’t a lot of people get 54 percent if they had $20 million to spend before June? And 2) “June” is siginificant here, because it’s still early! See, for example, poll numbers from late July 2001, when people hadn’t really gotten to know Bloomberg yet (of course, there was that lucky post-9/11, pre-RNC Giuliani endorsement):

Republican mayoral candidate Michael Bloomberg has closed the gap against any of the four Democratic candidates, but still trails any Democrat, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.

In a June 7 poll by the independent Quinnipiac University, Bloomberg trailed any of the four Democrats by margins of 2 -1 or more.

In this latest poll, possible general election matchups show:

• City Council Speaker Peter Vallone over Bloomberg 53 – 28 percent, with 16 percent undecided, down from 61 – 18 percent June 7;
• Public Advocate Mark Green over Bloomberg 54 – 28 percent, with 15 percent undecided, down from 62 – 20 percent;
• City Comptroller Alan Hevesi over Bloomberg 51 – 29 percent, with 17 percent undecided, down from 58 – 21 percent;
• Bronx Borough President Fernando Ferrer over Bloomberg 48 – 33 percent, with 17 percent undecided, down from 55 – 25 percent.